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Exclusive interview cover image featuring Sani Hamid discussing gold. The graphic overlays a background of gold bars and a financial chart with the question "GOLD: SAFE HAVEN OR OVERHYPED?"

🚨 Gold Forecast: $20,000 is Achievable? Decoding the Structural Shift Driving the Metal to Record Highs

December 01, 2025•4 min read

Gold is no longer behaving like the asset your grandmother knew. Forget the common narrative of it being a static, "useless relic." According to market experts, the drivers behind gold's recent parabolic rise are not cyclical—they are structural, pointing toward a long-term revaluation of the asset that could see its price soar to unprecedented levels.

We dive deep into the key takeaways from a recent expert interview on "The Truth About Gold: Allocation, Misconceptions & What’s Coming Next," detailing why every investor needs to reconsider their portfolio strategy now.

The Core Thesis: Gold is a Portfolio Must-Have

For serious investors, the question is no longer if you should own gold, but how much.

  • Core Allocation: Experts recommend gold as a core holding, essential for portfolio diversification, much like equities or bonds. A foundational allocation of around 10% is suggested.

  • Tactical Max: For those with a higher risk appetite or during periods of extreme volatility, a tactical allocation can push total gold holdings up to 15% to 20%.

  • Long-Term View: Over the long run, gold is viewed as a hard asset that will appreciate, securing its role in the next global monetary system shift.

Busting the "Useless Relic" Myth

The most common misconception—perpetuated by figures like Warren Buffett—is that gold is a poor investment because it yields no dividends or cash flows.

However, this perceived weakness is actually gold's greatest strength in today's environment:

  • Zero Counterparty Risk: Gold cannot be printed, diluted, or seized if held outside a hostile jurisdiction, offering a critical defense against financial system risks.

  • Not Country-Dependent: It does not belong to any particular country or management team, making it a truly neutral store of value.

The Structural Drivers: Why This Time is Different

While traditional indicators like the US Dollar ($USD) and Real Interest Rates once drove gold, a new, more powerful force is now in control: geopolitical risk and central bank policy.

1. Central Banks are the Dominant Buyers

The most significant driver of the last 18-24 months has been the massive, above-normal purchasing of gold by official accounts/central banks.

  • The Russia Warning: The seizure of Russian dollar-denominated assets by the US and its allies sent a "very strong signal" globally. Countries, both friend and foe, now view USD holdings as carrying significant counterparty risk, forcing a strategic shift into physical gold.

  • De-dollarization & US Debt: With the US national debt nearing $30-$40 trillion, future money printing to finance this debt is inevitable. Central banks are moving to gold as insurance against the debasement of the US dollar.

  • China’s Intent: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is a key central bank to watch. Its aggressive buying is tied to reducing dollar exposure and a long-term speculative goal of internationalizing the Yuan by connecting it to a physical gold backing.

2. The Political Wildcard: US Gold Revaluation

A significant political factor gaining traction is the speculation that the US administration may revalue its gold holdings from the 1970s peg of $42–$44 per ounce to the current market rate (near $4,000).

This administrative move would:

  • Create a near trillion-dollar paper profit for the Treasury.

  • Solidify gold's credibility as a major international reserve asset, encouraging other nations to follow suit and pushing its price higher.

Long-Term Price Forecast: $15,000–$20,000 by 2030

Given the structural nature of these shifts, the long-term outlook for gold is extremely bullish.

Using historical measures—such as gold’s peak percentage of the vastly expanded US money supply—analysts predict a staggering trajectory:

"I would even dare say maybe before 2030, a price of $15,000 to $20,000 is potentially achievable."

Inflation vs. Recession: The Immediate Drivers

Looking at the next five years, two traditional risks will also push gold higher, with inflation expected to hit first:

  1. Inflation Risk (Immediate): The current inflation risk is severely underestimated. The reversal of globalization (China no longer being the "cheap factory of the world") and the high energy demand of AI are structural factors set to sustain high inflation, making gold an essential hedge.

  2. Recession Risk (Secondary): An economic slowdown brings the risk of mass defaults, forcing central banks to print more money—a scenario that always drives investors toward the safe haven of hard assets.


Watch the Full Expert Interview

Don't miss the complete breakdown of these factors, including the relationship between gold and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.

▶️ Watch the full interview here: The Truth About Gold: Allocation, Misconceptions & What’s Coming Next - YouTube


What is your next step?

Are you properly allocated for this structural shift in the global monetary system?

Don't wait to realign your investments. Contact us today for a personalized consultation on your gold portfolio allocation and hard asset strategy.

Ready to talk? Reach out through your preferred method:

Gold investmentGold price forecastDe-dollarizationSani HamidGold allocationStructural shift
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